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Red73
421618.6
432533.1
44837.4
Blue94
159626.0
37679.4
171132.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395102060807394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4325
#16
33.12.7
18.521.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
32.92.2
24.126.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4216
#29
18.61.6
14.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1596
#17
26.02.2
20.122.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4483
#36
7.41.6
7.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3767
#32
9.42.2
5.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End