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Red43
171132.9
44837.4
44088.1
Blue16
34585.3
438910.7
125420.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323501020405060704316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.5
22.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1254
#30
20.10.9
14.013.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4408
#22
8.10.5
4.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
4389
#33
10.70.9
11.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4483
#36
7.40.5
5.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3458
#15
5.31.5
9.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End