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Red55
21723.3
400415.7
171122.2
Blue0
2446.1
400313.9
43758.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51410206080100120550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
23.30.4
26.627.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
4003
#21
13.93.6
16.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1711
#13
22.20.4
11.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.1
4375
#29
8.13.6
10.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4004
#14
15.70.4
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
244
#18
6.13.6
16.713.1
Auto
Teleop
End