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Red45
400415.7
368823.2
48272.1
Blue28
36394.5
171122.2
224610.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383820305060704528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
22.823.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1711
#13
22.20.6
22.622.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4004
#14
15.70.4
13.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2246
#39
10.00.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4827
#36
2.10.4
1.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3639
#35
4.50.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End