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Red142
323444.1
400323.4
191848.1
Blue100
49440.9
124326.9
400424.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1158650100150200142100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.5
46.446.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
494
#18
40.90.2
40.540.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.10.5
42.443.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
1243
#12
26.90.2
26.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4003
#19
23.40.5
21.722.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4004
#27
24.40.2
24.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End