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Red128
191848.1
323444.1
400323.4
Blue106
124326.9
400424.4
49440.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178750100150200128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.3
46.947.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
494
#18
40.90.2
40.640.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
44.10.3
43.043.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
1243
#12
26.90.2
26.726.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4003
#19
23.40.3
22.222.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
4004
#27
24.40.2
24.224.4
Auto
Teleop
End