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Red54
69430.9
22427.7
8067.4
Blue131
162637.9
33424.8
7523.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678105010015020025030035054131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
Unranked
30.90.8
31.530.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1626
Unranked
37.92.6
36.138.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
Unranked
27.70.8
29.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
334
Unranked
24.82.9
22.825.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
806
Unranked
7.40.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.7
75
Unranked
23.22.6
19.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End