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Red128
22549.5
36930.3
134010.2
Blue50
108937.5
428111.2
3714.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9143010015012850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
49.52.2
48.050.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
1089
Unranked
37.50.0
35.235.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
369
Unranked
30.32.2
27.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
4281
Unranked
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1340
Unranked
10.22.2
7.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
371
Unranked
4.20.0
4.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End