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Red57
217517.6
462316.7
329326.8
Blue2
295713.4
44802.8
46710.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39310102050607080572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3293
#33
26.81.6
15.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
2957
#16
13.42.5
13.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.61.6
13.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.8
4480
#44
2.84.1
2.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4623
#10
16.75.7
16.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
4671
#45
0.76.3
0.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End