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Red51
87631.6
167522.1
387111.3
Blue2
318413.5
28464.4
375110.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4531020406080100512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#5
31.60.6
19.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
3184
#14
13.52.6
12.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1675
#29
22.10.6
15.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
3751
#34
10.92.6
8.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3871
#26
11.30.6
8.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
2846
#35
4.42.6
12.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End