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Red13
303613.5
306119.8
8772.2
Blue17
46577.7
462417.2
450611.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353101020405060701317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3061
#17
19.81.8
13.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
17.21.3
10.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3036
#28
13.51.8
9.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4506
#25
11.11.3
14.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
877
#46
2.21.8
11.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
4657
#42
7.71.3
7.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End