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Red30
375515.1
253816.5
405414.4
Blue12
329410.3
270522.4
37885.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3833010205060703012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.6
11.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
2705
#14
22.41.8
15.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3755
#18
15.10.6
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3294
#41
10.31.8
11.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
14.40.6
13.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
3788
#46
5.01.8
6.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End