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Red2
301819.3
38468.5
37545.6
Blue48
474111.8
205233.0
418126.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3735010203050607080248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#38
19.32.8
17.614.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
33.00.9
19.920.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3846
#27
8.52.8
9.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.7
4181
#15
26.20.9
8.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3754
#47
5.62.8
8.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
4741
#26
11.80.9
8.39.2
Auto
Teleop
End