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Red34
451111.0
400917.0
252623.1
Blue12
401114.5
42176.0
37885.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252401020304050603412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.9
9.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
4011
#31
14.51.0
7.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.00.9
6.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
4217
#40
6.01.0
12.111.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4511
#24
11.00.9
7.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
3788
#46
5.01.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End