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Red4
38406.8
270522.4
33816.9
Blue31
38468.5
31229.7
297720.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3425010203040506070431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2705
#14
22.42.4
13.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
20.80.4
13.413.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3381
#42
6.92.4
9.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3122
#17
9.70.4
6.67.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3840
#25Sur
6.82.4
9.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3846
#27Sur
8.50.4
6.36.7
Auto
Teleop
End