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Red23
181617.6
30545.5
48456.6
Blue70
400917.0
418126.2
422822.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293602060801001202370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
17.60.6
15.114.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
4181
#15
26.23.0
9.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4845
#28
6.60.6
6.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.8
4228
#30
22.43.0
16.919.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3054
#48
5.50.6
8.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
17.03.0
7.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End