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Red11
48186.8
310216.3
329410.3
Blue71
388320.3
37545.6
327726.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264102060801001201171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#29
16.31.4
9.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
3277
#13
26.32.7
15.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3294
#41
10.31.4
10.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
3883
#12
20.32.7
17.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4818
#37
6.81.4
8.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3754
#47
5.62.7
5.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End