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Red21
47035.2
226420.8
329410.3
Blue35
401114.5
25065.2
171414.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270102040506070802135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.80.8
13.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
4011
#31
14.50.6
6.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3294
#41
10.30.8
13.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1714
#21
14.00.6
14.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4703
#33
5.20.8
4.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2506
#49
5.20.6
6.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End