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Red10
37885.0
47287.9
48186.8
Blue55
474111.8
48456.6
418213.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15270204060801055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#34
7.90.6
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
4182
#20
13.22.5
6.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4818
#37
6.80.6
8.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4741
#26
11.82.5
12.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3788
#46
5.00.6
1.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4845
#28
6.62.5
6.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End