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Red107
257445.2
392843.8
423918.0
Blue115
460715.4
96742.9
217532.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11483050100150200107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.0
45.645.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
967
#3
42.90.5
42.042.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.80.0
44.344.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
32.60.5
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4239
#19
18.00.0
18.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4607
#20
15.40.7
14.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End