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Red83
392843.8
423918.0
257445.2
Blue115
460715.4
96742.9
217532.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138505010015020083115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.4
45.645.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
967
#3
42.90.4
42.442.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.80.4
44.243.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
32.60.4
32.232.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4239
#19
18.00.7
18.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
4607
#20
15.40.7
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End