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Red35
251831.8
30827.9
340712.2
Blue3
218114.5
305812.1
485010.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54240406080100120353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.8
24.023.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
2181
#13
14.52.1
9.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3407
#34
12.21.2
9.78.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3058
#47
12.12.1
9.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3082
#40
7.91.2
15.614.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4850
#21
10.93.5
10.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End