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Red16
24988.4
245010.6
42295.8
Blue22
25159.1
22277.5
303817.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27340204060801001622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2450
#43
10.61.0
10.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
3038
#14
17.70.9
10.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2498
#60
8.41.0
8.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2515
#20
9.10.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4229
#46
5.81.0
8.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2227
#31
7.50.9
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End