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Red23
46674.8
376510.0
250115.9
Blue3
46513.7
42777.5
37452.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932020406080233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2501
#26
15.90.5
10.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
4277
#62
7.52.4
11.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3765
#56
10.00.5
9.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4651
#50
3.73.4
3.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4667
#39
4.85.5
3.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3745
#53
2.22.4
10.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End