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Red40
303817.7
298711.7
254514.1
Blue83
218114.5
329210.5
310229.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353610203040506070804083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#14
17.70.4
12.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
3102
#11
29.92.4
20.923.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2545
#17
14.10.4
12.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2181
#13
14.54.0
7.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2987
#55
11.70.4
10.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3292
#16
10.54.0
6.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End