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Red3
37452.2
485010.9
34548.3
Blue22
250812.2
28554.8
35245.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290406080100322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4850
#21
10.91.6
7.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2508
#27
12.20.4
11.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3454
#58
8.31.6
7.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3524
#32
5.80.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3745
#53
2.21.6
7.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
2855
#59
4.80.4
8.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End