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Red55
363016.6
303817.7
223215.9
Blue28
35245.8
376510.0
298711.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392702060801005528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#14
17.71.5
12.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2987
#55
11.70.1
12.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3630
#28
16.61.5
13.214.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3765
#56
10.00.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2232
#15
15.91.5
11.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
3524
#32
5.80.1
7.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End