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Red40
331320.6
250812.2
250115.9
Blue35
24808.4
252911.7
329916.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382802060804035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
13.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3299
#19
16.90.5
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2501
#26
15.90.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2529
#35
11.70.5
9.710.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2508
#27
12.20.3
11.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2480
#51
8.40.5
11.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End