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Red119
245714.4
198666.6
180643.1
Blue136
299636.3
352828.4
182530.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288450100150200119136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.0
65.865.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
2996
#14
36.30.9
34.935.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.10.0
42.142.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1825
#17
30.10.9
28.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2457
#18
14.40.0
13.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
28.40.9
27.028.0
Auto
Teleop
End