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Red176
245714.4
198666.6
180643.1
Blue117
182530.1
299636.3
352828.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288750100150200176117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.9
65.766.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
2996
#14
36.30.5
35.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
43.11.1
42.043.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.0
1825
#17
30.10.5
29.630.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2457
#18
14.41.1
13.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
28.40.5
28.028.4
Auto
Teleop
End