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Red133
19341.2
121853.6
122841.7
Blue135
22554.5
428543.6
446017.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14210950200133135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
53.60.1
53.653.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
225
#25
54.50.3
54.054.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
#19
41.70.1
41.841.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4285
#20
43.60.3
43.143.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
193
#2
41.20.1
41.241.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
17.50.3
17.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End