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Red138
19341.2
121853.6
122841.7
Blue144
446017.5
22554.5
428543.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14111050100200138144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
53.60.0
53.553.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
225
#25
54.50.5
54.454.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1228
#19
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
4285
#20
43.60.5
43.443.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
193
#2
41.20.0
41.141.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.6
17.50.5
17.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End