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Red112
31650.2
30345.9
139129.6
Blue149
1155.8
140341.8
22245.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12414650100200250112149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#14
50.20.3
50.750.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
11
#9
55.80.1
55.755.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
#3
45.90.3
46.546.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
222
#7
45.00.1
44.945.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1391
#30
29.60.3
30.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
1403
#21
41.80.1
41.741.8
Auto
Teleop
End