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Red155
121853.6
7527.3
29344.6
Blue133
434238.1
192336.4
457535.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11783050100150200250155133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#10
53.62.2
45.447.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
4342
#17
38.12.2
33.035.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#13
44.62.2
40.943.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1923
#22
36.42.2
28.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
75
#39
27.32.2
25.727.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
4575
#33
35.52.2
27.729.9
Auto
Teleop
End