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Red145
22554.5
22432.9
446017.5
Blue101
108940.4
188119.3
140341.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9977050150200145101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#25
54.52.5
57.760.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1403
#21
41.81.0
36.537.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
224
#11
32.92.5
24.326.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
1089
#12
40.41.0
31.732.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
17.52.5
13.415.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1881
#43
19.31.0
12.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End