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Red96
114322.9
122841.7
130220.3
Blue138
428543.6
331439.5
30345.9
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6913505010015020096138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#19
41.70.8
41.342.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
303
#3
45.90.7
40.741.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1143
#45
22.90.8
19.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
4285
#20
43.60.7
44.144.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1302
#48
20.30.8
18.719.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
3314
#24
39.50.7
40.140.7
Auto
Teleop
End