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Red123
86919.3
29344.6
127945.1
Blue119
48625.3
5643.6
22554.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94140050200250123119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.1
39.440.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
225
#25
54.50.7
58.758.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
293
#13
44.61.1
44.545.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
56
#16
43.60.7
46.245.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
#18
19.31.1
17.518.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
486
#35
25.30.7
28.127.4
Auto
Teleop
End