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Red117
447517.0
108940.4
260740.6
Blue135
22432.9
253931.7
434238.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95926080100120140117135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#34
40.61.2
43.544.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4342
#17
38.12.1
37.539.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1089
#12
40.41.2
32.834.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
224
#11
32.92.1
28.330.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4475
#41
17.01.2
17.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.8
2539
#32
31.72.1
28.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End