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Red100
181620.6
217544.0
453926.8
Blue88
251829.1
25019.2
270540.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8378406010012010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
Unranked
44.00.9
39.440.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2705
Unranked
40.60.4
38.839.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4539
Unranked
26.80.9
24.024.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2518
Unranked
29.10.4
29.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1816
Unranked
20.60.9
18.519.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
2501
Unranked
9.20.4
10.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End