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Red39
462414.3
303818.5
313033.7
Blue63
222526.4
253822.3
297728.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76754060801001203963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
Unranked
33.71.7
37.135.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2977
Unranked
28.00.7
27.526.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3038
Unranked
18.51.7
20.118.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
2225
Unranked
26.40.7
27.426.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4624
Unranked
14.31.7
16.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
2538
Unranked
22.30.7
23.022.3
Auto
Teleop
End