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Red142
14144.9
328019.5
11632.0
Blue145
22839.8
164047.5
205460.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82116050100150200250142145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#27
44.92.7
41.744.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.6
60.51.7
60.261.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
116
#93
32.02.7
29.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
1640
#24
47.51.7
42.544.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3280
#79
19.52.7
16.819.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
2283
#83
9.81.7
8.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End