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Red74
130532.5
450518.0
49223.9
Blue172
18055.2
297447.6
465217.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6612005010015020025074172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#59
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
180
#69
55.23.0
52.255.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
#71
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.7
2974
#29
47.63.0
44.547.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4505
#82
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4652
#97
17.43.0
14.417.4
Auto
Teleop
End