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Qual 452013 Newton Division
Red115
120844.5
198537.5
448726.0
Blue108
265521.7
238915.4
15536.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107460150115108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#54
44.50.9
43.7→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.9
155
#44
36.52.6
29.7→32.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1985
#13
37.50.9
32.9→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.8
2655
#53
21.72.6
11.4→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4487
#76
26.00.9
20.5→21.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.6
2389
#80
15.42.9
14.3→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—