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Red57
29613.9
173030.3
285138.0
Blue93
167125.7
447626.3
189948.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8391501001505793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#63
38.01.4
36.835.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
1899
#49
48.50.1
41.141.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1730
#38
30.31.4
29.027.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4476
#17
26.30.1
27.027.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
296
#87
13.91.4
18.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
1671
#68
25.70.1
22.122.2
Auto
Teleop
End