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Red115
151933.5
88532.9
13320.1
Blue94
22929.5
15123.8
127724.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837420406010012014016011594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.7
31.932.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
229
#11
29.50.4
28.829.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
885
#4
32.90.7
31.332.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
1277
#23
24.30.4
23.624.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
133
#35
20.10.7
18.519.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
151
#6
23.80.4
23.223.5
Auto
Teleop
End