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Red157
360925.7
61050.7
412431.2
Blue123
88532.9
151933.5
13320.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038150150200157123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
50.71.2
47.949.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
33.50.8
32.833.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4124
#17
31.21.2
28.429.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
885
#4
32.90.8
32.132.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3609
#19
25.71.2
22.824.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
133
#35
20.10.8
19.320.1
Auto
Teleop
End