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Red82
107312.6
127724.3
183111.9
Blue3
19736.1
959.9
336017.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43360206080100120823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#23
24.33.3
15.018.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
3360
#31
17.02.8
12.79.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1073
#33
12.63.3
14.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
95
#40
9.92.8
14.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#29
11.93.3
12.916.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1973
#16
6.12.8
9.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End