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Red82
360925.7
412431.2
6124.9
Blue101
332324.2
61050.7
13320.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5772010015020025082101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4124
#17
31.21.9
22.124.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
610
#1
50.72.6
37.440.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3609
#19
25.71.9
15.117.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
3323
#13
24.22.6
19.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
61
#10
24.91.9
21.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
133
#35
20.12.6
12.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End