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Red126
19330.7
260740.9
436117.7
Blue97
162639.9
181121.1
122837.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310205015020012697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
37.137.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
39.90.0
39.639.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
193
#20
30.70.8
26.827.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1228
#15
37.50.0
37.237.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#21
17.70.8
13.914.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1811
#25
21.10.0
20.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End