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Red126
260740.9
19330.7
436117.7
Blue118
162639.9
181121.1
122837.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76102050150200126118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
37.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
39.90.3
39.639.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
193
#20
30.70.8
27.628.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1228
#15
37.50.3
37.237.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4361
#21
17.70.8
14.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1811
#25
21.10.3
20.821.1
Auto
Teleop
End